New York Knicks: 2019 NBA Draft Lottery odds for each possible scenario

No. 4: 11.9 percent

From 47.9 percent for the fifth pick to just 11.9 percent for No. 4, this is the slot with the lowest odds for the New York Knicks to land. Like fifth, it is a dangerous spot, as the draft board shows signs of murkiness at this point, although Virginia’s De’Andre Hunter — a two-way wing who could impact immediately — is a potential fit at this spot.

Otherwise, landing here keeps the Knicks away from the aforementioned top three of this draft — most likely. The draft has taken chaotic left turns before, including Anthony Bennett‘s shocking selection at first overall in 2013 and Dion Waiters‘ quick rise to fourth in 2014.

So maybe Barrett or Morant slip to fourth. Teams could play on needs, and if the second and third overall teams have long-term point guards in place, or just prefer someone else, one of those players could fall to the Knicks at four.

11.9 percent seems low, but it ties the Cleveland Cavaliers and Phoenix Suns for the highest odds to land fourth. The Chicago Bulls are 0.5 percent behind, and the Atlanta Hawks have a 10.5 percent chance.

Recent history of this pick has offered a spotty history. This is where the Knicks took Kristaps Porzingis in 2015 and how the Magic picked Aaron Gordon in 2014, but Waiters, Josh Jackson, Dragan Bender, Cody Zeller and Wesley Johnson also make up this group of players to land this high over the past nine years.

This is not the worst-case scenario, and the Knicks will still find an intriguing player here, but most of the recent history tells otherwise.